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11 Dec 2013 The Beijing News

 

Experts' analysis indicate that 2014 will be the starting year of all-round deepened reform, and there will be more prominent reforms, as well as to continue to preserve "make progress while ensuring stability" ("稳中求进").

The Central Economic Work Conference will outline the China development for next year, and which specific content this will involve has captured the attention of all circles of society. There are experts that believe that from the news that leaked out from the Dec 3rd meeting of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party political bureau, that the whole macroscopic policy of 2014 will weaken growth, prominent reforms, and focus on increased quality for beneficial economic growth will become the keywords for next year’s reform. Reform will take precedence over growth, by no means imply to allow the Chinese economy to have a "hard landing"; make progress while ensuring stability as a central theme will not change.

 

1. Guessing reforms

How will the importance of reforms be revealed?

Must pay attention towards the implementation of central authorities' overall reform scheme, actively push on reform in emphasized fields, put forth effort to strengthen the internal dynamics of development.

-- The Dec 3rd Congress of the political bureau of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party

The stress on economic growth is perhaps no longer as prominent as in the past, but how to promote various reforms is the top priority.  Previously, the Organization Department of the Central Committee of the CPC appeared publicly regarding new regulations towards officials' assessment of career achievements, which clearly express not to regard GDP theory as a hero. Experts believe that this in some sense even more apparently indicates the importance of reform.

"At this time the Central Economic Working Conference not only will mention reform, but will stress reform". Director of China (Hainan) Institute for Development and Reform Chi Fulin expresses, 2014 will be the starting year for all-round implement of <CPC Central Committee decision concerning overall deepened reform for a number of important issues> from Third Plenum of the 18th CPC Central Committee; towards the future "take proper steps, make a good start" and establish a foundation.

Chi Fulin says, 2014 is the starting year of all-round deepened reform, and also a natural resources policy promotion year, after all in a reform program year the more prominent markets should with decisiveness make deepened economic institutional reform of the deployment of natural resources. He is full of confidence of the future economic growth, this time the Central Economic Working Conference will establish an institutional foundation for China's reform and development.

"There is no doubt, this time reform is the focus of the Central Economic Working Conference and very much worth looking forward to". Vice President Lu Feng at Peking University National Development Research Institute believes the direction established by the 3rd plenum of the 18th CPC Central Committee, the Central Economic Working Conference will year-by-year comprehensively implement the decisions by the plenum, and judging by the decision blueprint push forward with all-round reform deployment, and present specific measures.

2. Guessing the central theme

"Make progress while ensuring stability" will still be stressed? Will overall implement 18th Party Congress and second plenum, the spirit of the 3rd plenum, persist with "make progress while ensuring stability" as a central work theme, make reform pierce through all fields and segments of society's economic development.

Speed up the economy - always a topic followed relatively closely of all circles of society. On the basis of previous years Economic Work Conferences, will not mention a specific GBP target, but set the overall tone. Before the Dec 3rd meeting of Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party political bureau convened, stress "make progress while ensuring stability", "must apply the reform spirit, thinking, and way to improve macroeconomic regulation; scientifically grasp macroeconomic regulation policy framework; preserve policy continuity and stability."

The director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Finance focus laboratory Liu Yuhui believes, that to set a target number for economic growth, is not at all the key problem; the key is how to handle logical relationship between reform and economic growth; that is the relationship between methods, structural adjustments, as well as economic growth, this is the core of the problem.

The director of China (Hainan) Institute for development and Reform Chi Fulin expresses, that this year China GDP growth estimated between 7.5%-7.8%, the target for 2014 has a slight adjustment. Because China presently is at a growth junction, GDP growth already go from high-speed double digit growth to middle high-speed growth at 7%-8%.

Many analysts also believes, that the central authorities will continue to keep "make progress while ensuring stability" for the economic work of 2014 as the central work theme. "Stability" is to guarantee a macro-economic policy for fundamental stability, steady economic growth and fundamental stability for general price levels; "Progress" is the demand to transform the pattern of economic development to obtain new progress, to make breakthrough in all economic reforms.

3. Guessing urbanization

Will the drive for urbanization be strengthened?

Walking a new type of path for urbanization, a new type of national urbanization implementation program appeared in public, to implement and perfect regional development program and policy, to strengthen the development ability of areas lacking development.

-- The Dec 3rd Congress of the political bureau of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party

"Actively and smoothly move forward with urbanization, put effort to improve quality of urbanization" is one of the main tasks for 2013 from last year's Central Economic Working Conference, and was also first time for "urbanization" to appear in the Central Economic Working Conference. So will this year continue to strengthen the drive the urbanization?

Chi Fulin believes, that 2014 is an important year for overall drive of new type of urbanization, and also the year to realize a shift for a new type of urbanization, realize a transformation from "urbanization of scale" to "urbanization of population", to continue establish a foundation for a new type of urbanization, and also realize 7% GDP growth of the endogenous driving force. Therefore, Economic Working Conference should refer to how to push forward with the urbanization problems.

By the middle of this month the National Urbanization Working Conference will convene and present a new type of urbanization program; some new mechanisms will be made public.

"The key to reforms shall be to create conditions for a new type of urbanization, this time the Central Economic Working Conference will elaborate more about urbanization". Lu Feng says urbanization is a concept that is parallel with modernization; in the future shall the implementation of a new type of urbanization be steadily pushed forward according to the spirit of the Third Plenum of the 18th CPC Central Committee.

4. Guessing environment

Will there be more outstanding environmental protection?

Will persist in green low carbon clean development, strengthen the system construction of ecological civilization, vigorously protect environment and ecology, not at all relax the efforts of energy saving and emission reduction, actively tackle climate change.

-- The Dec 3rd Congress of the political bureau of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party

In recent years, environmental protection problems has got more and more attention, recently from north to south, people everywhere has been made aware that a solution to the air quality etc environmental protection problems cannot waste any time.
"Environmental protection presently already entered a state of not making great effort won’t do." The director of China (Hainan) Institute for development and Reform Chi Fulin believes controlling smog, environmental protection already became a common demand for the whole society, and central government in the future will transform the pattern of economical growth, and eliminate outdated capacity. Heavy polluting industries, highly energy consuming industries, will be given restraints. This is also the inevitable choice for the future building natural-resources-saving and environmental-friendly "two types of society".

The associate director of the International Institute for Strategic Studies at CPC Party School Zhou Tianyong also believes, some polluting industries are simply excess capacity, so the environmental protection problem at the same time also is a structural adjustment problem. On one hand reduce the use of polluting energy, and at the same time increase the use of clean energy. This conference might mention this. Zhou Tianyong suggests carrying out pollution control of big steel mills, cement plants, chemical plants and melting shops. On one hand adopt administrative measures such as limiting production and shutdown etc, and on another hand increase the strength of checking environmental protection; need to strengthen the control of both air pollution and water pollution. Moreover, in actual implementation, it’s also possible laws and regulation will be revised, to increase the severity of environmental pollution punishment, for example increase the fine amount etc.

"The fragility of the environment shows, that the way of growth and growth model of the past already cannot continue." The director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Finance focus laboratory Liu Yuhui says the next year the whole society will deepen reform from all aspects, and environmental protection will be one aspect of the reforms.

5. Guessing the real estate

How will the real estate market be regulated?

Need to guarantee and perfect people's livelihood in a feasible way, implement a more active job policy, strengthen social security systems, promote reform and development of social programs, complete the work of housing guarantee and real estate market regulation.

-- The Dec 3rd Congress of the political bureau of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party

The real estate market will always be a closely followed hot issue, especially after the Third Plenum of the 18th CPC Central Committee, the strength of housing tax and low-income housing will increase, in that case, will the Central Economic Working Conference this time mention the real estate market or not?

"The next step is to actively and smoothly make public a real estate regulation, on one side increase social housing, and on another side make public relevant safeguard systems, prevent big fluctuations to occur in the real estate market." Chi Fulin states, for example making public a standard system for land sales, a standard system for real estate trade, a reasonable system for city planning etc. Moreover, actively implement the unified registration system set up by State Council for immovable property.

Liu Yuhui believes that real estate involves all aspects of economy and society, the essence is the problem of pattern of economical growth, there still exists systematical malpractices. If local governments do not adjust its view of GDP as guide for career achievements, and only make public a policy directed against a single special real estate market, that will repeat the conditions for the last ten years, with stop-gap solutions. Therefore policy-makers maybe will bring the real estate market into a deepened overall reform, a system solution.

Zhou Tianyong believes as this year's real estate price increase still is very fast, and it should therefore enter regulation, the fundamental problem is how choose means of regulation. He estimate next year there will be an obvious push in the aspect of real estate tax.

 

Written by bjnews reporters Li Lei and Jin Yu




2013-12-11 新京报

专家分析认为,2014年是全面深化改革的起步之年,将更突出改革,继续维持“稳中求进”

  中央经济工作会议将部署明年中国经济发展,具体会涉及哪些内容,引起社会各界的关注。有专家分析认为,从12月3日召开的中共中央政治局会议所透露的信息看,2014年整体宏观政策将淡化增长、突出改革,以提高经济增长质量效益为中心将成为明年改革的关键词。使改革先于增长,并不意味着允许中国经济“硬着陆”,稳中求进的总基调不会变。

  1 猜想改革

  改革重要性将如何显现?

  要抓好对中央改革总体部署的落实,积极推进重点领域改革,着力增强发展内生动力。

  ——12月3日中共中央政治局会议

  对经济增长的强调或许不再像以前一样突出,如何推动各项改革才是重中之重。此前,中组部出台对官员政绩的考核新规中,明确表示不以GDP论英雄。专家分析认为,这在某种意义上表明了改革重要性地位会更加显现。

  “在本次的中央经济工作会议上,不仅会提到改革,而且还会突出强调改革”。中国(海南)改革发展研究院院长迟福林表示,2014年是全面落实十八届三中全会《中共中央关于全面深化改革若干重大问题的决定》的开局之年,会为未来“起好步,开好头”,奠定基础。

  迟福林称,2014年是全面深化改革的起步之年,也是资源价格等政策推进的一年,还是改革方案出台的一年,将会更加突出市场在资源配置中起决定性作用深化经济体制改革。他对未来的经济增长充满信心,这次中央经济工作会议将为中国的改革和发展奠定制度基础。

  “毫无疑问,改革是本次中央经济工作会议的看点,很值得期待”。北京大学国家发展研究院副院长卢锋认为,十八届三中全会奠定了未来的发展方向,一年一度的中央经济工作会议会全面落实全会的决定,依据十八届三中全会《决定》这个蓝本,全面推进改革的部署,推出具体的措施。

  2 猜想基调

  “稳中求进”会否再强调?

  要全面贯彻落实党的十八大和十八届二中、三中全会精神,继续坚持稳中求进工作总基调,把改革贯穿于经济社会发展各个领域各个环节。

  ——12月3日中共中央政治局会议

  经济增速,一向是社会各界比较关注的话题。根据往年经济工作会议来看,不会提及GDP具体目标,但会有一个总体上的定调。此前12月3日召开的中共中央政治局会议,强调“稳中求进”,“要用改革的精神、思路、办法改善宏观调控,科学把握宏观调控政策框架,保持政策连续性和稳定性。”

  中国社会科学院金融重点实验室主任刘煜辉认为,对经济增长设一个目标数字,并不是问题的关键,关键是如何处理改革和经济增速之间的逻辑关系,即转方式、调结构以及经济增速之间的关系,这是问题的核心。

  中国(海南)改革发展研究院院长迟福林表示,预计今年中国GDP增速在7.5%-7.8%之间,2014年目标略有调整。因为中国目前处于增长的拐点,GDP增速已经从两位数的高速增长降至7%-8%的中高速增长。

  多家分析机构也认为,中央将继续维持2014年经济工作稳中求进的工作总基调。“稳”是要保证宏观经济政策的基本稳定、经济平稳增长以及物价总水平基本稳定;“进”就是要求在转变经济发展方式上取得新进展,在各项经济改革中取得突破。

  3 猜想城镇化

  是否会强化推进城镇化?

  走新型城镇化道路,出台实施国家新型城镇化规划,落实和完善区域发展规划和政策,增强欠发达地区发展能力。

  ——12月3日中共中央政治局会议

  “积极稳妥推进城镇化,着力提高城镇化质量”是去年中央经济工作会议对2013年经济工作主要任务之一,也是“城镇化”首次亮相中央经济工作会议。那么,今年还会不会强化继续推进城镇化呢?

  迟福林认为,2014年是全面推进新型城镇化的重要一年,也是实现新型城镇化的转折之年,要实现从规模城镇化到人口城镇化的转型,为可持续的新型城镇化奠定基础,也是实现GDP增长7%的内生动力。因此,经济工作会议应该会提及如何推动城镇化的问题。将于本月中旬召开的全国城镇化工作会议将推出关于新型城镇化的规划,会出台一些新的机制。

  “改革是关键,将为新型城镇化创造条件,本次中央经济工作会议将会对城镇化有更多的阐述”。卢锋表示,城镇化是与现代化平行的概念,未来将根据十八届三中全会的精神稳妥推进落实新型城镇化。

  4 猜想环保

  会否更加突出环境治理?

  要坚持绿色低碳清洁发展,加强生态文明制度建设,狠抓环境治理和生态保护,毫不放松抓好节能减排,积极应对气候变化。

  ——12月3日中共中央政治局会议

  近年来,环境保护问题越来越受重视,最近从北到南,都让人感觉到空气质量等环保问题的解决是如何刻不容缓。

  “环境治理目前已经到了不加大力度不行的地步。”中国(海南)改革发展研究院院长迟福林认为,治理雾霾,保护环境已经成为全社会的公共需求,中央政府未来会转变经济增长方式,淘汰落后产能。污染严重的行业,高耗能的产业,将进一步受到约束。这也是未来建设资源节约型与环境友好型“两型社会”的必然选择。

  中央党校国际战略研究所副所长周天勇也认为,有些污染行业本来就产能过剩,所以环境治理问题,同时也是调结构问题。一方面对污染型能源减少使用,同时加大对清洁型能源的运用。这次会议有可能会提及。周天勇建议,对污染很大的钢厂、水泥厂和化工厂、冶炼厂都进行控制。一方面采取压产和关闭等行政手段,另一方面加大环保稽查力度,对烟尘和污水口都要加强监督。另外,在具体实施中,还可能会修改法规,加大对环境污染的处罚力度,如提高罚金金额等。

  “环境的脆弱性显示,过去的增长方式和增长模式已经不可持续了。”中国社会科学院金融重点实验室主任刘煜辉表示,明年整体上会从各个方面深化改革,环境治理会是改革的一个方面。

  5 猜想房地产

  房地产市场将如何调控?

  要切实保障和改善民生,实施更加积极的就业政策,健全社会保障体系,促进社会事业改革发展,做好住房保障和房地产市场调控工作。

  ——12月3日中共中央政治局会议

  房地产市场,一直是备受关注的热点,尤其是在十八届三中全会之后,房产税与推出保障房的力度加大,那么,本次中央经济工作会议是否会提到房地产市场呢?

  “下一步会积极稳妥地推出房地产调控,一方面加大保障房力度,另一方面推出相关制度保障,防止房地产市场出现过大波动”。迟福林称,比如推出规范的土地出让制度,规范的房地产交易制度,城市合理规划制度等。与此同时,积极落实国务院建立的不动产统一登记制度。

  刘煜辉认为,房地产涉及经济社会各个方面,本质上是经济增长模式的问题,还存在体制上的弊端。如果地方政府以GDP为导向的政绩观没有调整,只是专项针对单一房地产市场出台政策,又会重蹈过去十年的状态,头痛医头脚痛医脚。所以决策层可能会将房地产市场纳入全面深化改革里面,系统解决。

  周天勇认为,房地产今年价格上涨还是很快的,所以应当进行调控,问题的关键在于如何选择调控手段。他预计明年在房产税方面会有明显的推进。

稿件采写/新京报记者 李蕾 金彧


Posted: 07 Feb 2014

 

Way of setting up default ring tone and music box (ring music) broadcast order:
1. Visit Wo music website with computer (http://mv.wo.com.cn), at the web page's upper right corner click "login", enter phone number (email, other username), password, verification code; after sucessful login click on account number with small user icon at web page's upper right corner, and you will enter the "user center" service management web page.
2. In "ring tone database" or "ring music box" select the melody to be configured, click "set as default ring tone", follow the web page's hints for operations and you can set up ring tone song broadcast order.
Xuan Ling (炫铃) is China Unicom's public offer for individualized ring tone service, it's customized by the user, giving priority to providing the user with pleasing sounding music or a greeting to replace the normal ring tone (note: 回铃音 = answering ring tone) service.




设置默认炫铃及音乐盒(铃音盒)播放顺序的方式:
1、电脑访问沃音乐网址http://mv.wo.com.cn,在页面右上角点击“登录”,输入手机号码(邮箱、其他用户名)、密码、验证码,成功登录后点击页面右上角小人像处的账号,即可进入“用户中心>业务管理”界面;
2、在“炫铃库”或“铃音盒”中选择需要设置的炫铃单曲,点击“设置为默认炫铃”,按页面提示操作即可设置炫铃歌曲播放顺序。
炫铃是联通推出的个性化回铃音业务,它是一项由被叫用户定制,为主叫用户提供一段悦耳的音乐或一句问候语来替代普通回铃音的业务。


Posted: 22 Aug 2016